Friday, February 9, 2007

Too Early to Call a Victory

Without officially announcing her intention to run and with two whole years to go, Senator Clinton's political future is sparkling according to Ohio polls on Quinnipiac. Stephen Mack supports the possibility Clinton's possible landslide victory come 2008 based on these polls. He is particularly poignant in pointing out that, unlike any of her opponents, Senator Clinton carries significant baggage and that the negative public perception of her is factored into the polls. Put this and the numbers together and some are predicting the former First Lady may be heading back to her old home in the White House.

However, I took a look at the New Hampshire polls and, though Sentor Clinton still has a strong showing, I believe it is not as predictable as it seems. Here, Clinton is ahead of Obama by 15% and Edwards by 17%, whereas in Ohio she's ahead by 25% and 27% respectively.

It goes to show that States fluctuate, people change their mind, and seriously...there are TWO more years to go. Sure maybe Clinton has all her cards on the table and many Americans have more or less passed judgement on Senator Clinton as a wife, mother, woman, Senator and potential President. However, Senator Obama and Former Senator Edwards are less pigeonholed. They have enough resources to run campaigns that truly promote their positive qualities and have proven to be talented and charismatic politicians. Who is to say that they cannot affect the polls by selling their positive qualitites (and they both have some wonderful ones) to shed numbers off of Senator Clinton's leading percentages? It's just too early to call a victory.


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